[obol] 1994 predictions of next bird

[Alan Contreras]

Bill Tice reminded me that he had done a "next bird" survey in 1994, so I
thought I'd see how close our predictions were.  Only eight people voted
that year compared to 24 this year (the power of OBOL).  Of the eight, Greg
Gillson picked five correctly.  The other voters (who all picked at least
one correctly) were John Lundsten, Owen Schmidt, Jim Johnson, Darrel Faxon,
Mike Denny, Bill and me.

Of our top ten in 1994, seven have been seen.  Of the 23 birds named, 13
have been seen.  Five have been more than once (accepted by OBRC), marked
with a + sign.

Bill Tice's next bird survey, 1994 (published early 1996 in OB 22(2):55).
Votes were not weighted, but each person got five.
    
    
 4 RT Pipit* +
 4 Eur Dotterel*  
 3 Cook's Petrel*  
 3 YC Nightheron  
 3 Connecticut Warbler*
 3 Yellow Wagtail* +
 3 RB Tropicbird  
 2 Yellow-throated Vireo* +
 2 Fork-tailed Flycatcher
 1 White-rumped Sandpiper*
 1 GC Flycatcher  
 1 BF Booby*  
 1 Arctic Loon*  
 1 Red-headed Woodpecker*
 1 Gray-tailed Tattler
 1 Sharp-tailed Sparrow
 1 Painted Redstart
 1 BB Cuckoo  
 1 Blackvent Shearwater* +
 1 Mississippi Kite
 1 Reddish Egret  
 1 Manx Shear* + 
 1 Lesser BB Gull* 
    
  23 chosen by eight respondents
  *13 have been seen

-- 
Alan Contreras
EUGENE, OREGON

acontrer at mindspring.com
www.OREGONREVIEW.BLOGSPOT.COM ­ Social Commentary
www.CONTRERASBIRDS.BLOGSPOT.COM ­ Current Bird Photos